Granular-Initialise
0xe58be0b133c646ae5d0752b1382738198d97d323
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$2.1K
Total PnL
$-5.6K
Realised
$177.42
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
1895 shares @ 95.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$1.9K
$65.37
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1088 shares @ 13.8¢·now 14.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$155.00
$5.00
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?
110 shares @ 29.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$72.05
$40.15
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
200 shares @ 16.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.00
$-13.00
- NO
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
350 shares @ 42.9¢·now 3.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$12.94
$-137.06
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
4707 shares @ 42.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
3854 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-580.00
- NO
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-11?
1550 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-278.84
- YES
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?
1341 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-88.41
- NO
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-22?
1127 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-800.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$1.8KJun 2, 11:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 2, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.8KJun 1, 12:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.8KMay 31, 06:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 31, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 30, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.0KMay 29, 16:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 28, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$1.1KMay 27, 09:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 27, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$1000.00May 26, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.0KMay 26, 00:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 26, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-24?$3.9KMay 25, 01:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 25, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $729.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 15:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".