Instructive-Return
0xe58ceeef4a6dc7972d705df24b2f6218b08d27fa
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
120
Open notional
$167.16
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-16.45
Win rate
0%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 120- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 62 and 63 million views on day 6?
36 shares @ 55.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$17.82
$-2.18
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on May 22?
16 shares @ 64.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$14.03
$4.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on May 25?
40 shares @ 38.0¢·now 35.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$13.83
$-1.17
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C or higher on May 22?
112 shares @ 13.3¢·now 12.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$13.50
$-1.50
- NO
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 22?
60 shares @ 24.9¢·now 18.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$11.14
$-3.86
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May 22?
15 shares @ 59.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$10.82
$2.25
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C or below on May 23?
28 shares @ 39.4¢·now 37.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$10.67
$-0.53
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 24?
13 shares @ 73.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$9.50
$0.06
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on May 24?
15 shares @ 79.4¢·now 62.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$9.36
$-2.63
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 22?
17 shares @ 54.4¢·now 51.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$8.61
$-0.48
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on May 24?$12.11May 22, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C or below on May 23?$11.54May 22, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on May 23?$8.48May 22, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 61 and 62 million views on day 6?$5.22May 21, 23:28 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - May 21, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$34.73May 21, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - May 21, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$4.20May 21, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 22?$5.24May 21, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 22?$9.30May 21, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - May 21, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$18.61May 21, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$10.48May 21, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$10.35May 21, 22:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$20.00May 21, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$7.36May 21, 22:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$15.00May 21, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$10.35May 21, 22:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$20.00May 21, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$7.91May 21, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$11.74May 21, 22:26 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - May 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$12.00May 21, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - May 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$6.23May 21, 21:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $9.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 22:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 03:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".