Polished-Cactus
0xe590694c961fe39b5762454f5c491d0a4bcf73e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-41.11
Realised
$22.24
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 14% and 16% of votes in the first round?
253 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-13.27
- YES
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
48 shares @ 15.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2025$0.00
$-7.41
- HAMILTON
F1 Hungarian GP: Hamilton vs. Russell
42 shares @ 45.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2025$0.00
$-19.13
- YES
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?
39 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.85
- VERSTAPPEN
F1 Hungarian GP: Verstappen vs. Norris
20 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2025$0.00
$-5.40
- ALBON
F1 Hungarian GP: Albon vs. Sainz
20 shares @ 58.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2025$0.00
$-11.73
- NO
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
16 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
BitBoy convicted?
9 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.04
- HAMILTON
F1 Hungarian GP: Hamilton vs. Leclerc
2 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2025$0.00
$-0.52
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025?$2.02Feb 22, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?$2.00Feb 12, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon cut the budget by at least 10% in 2025?$1.99Feb 12, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitBoy convicted?$2.04Feb 12, 03:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Friend of Mine" during WEF Address on January 21?$0.58Jan 21, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Friend of Mine" during WEF Address on January 21?$383.06Jan 21, 14:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$383.06Jan 21, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$343.70Jan 21, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$9.10Jan 21, 14:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$352.80Jan 20, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$345.78Jan 20, 02:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 14% and 16% of votes in the first round?$60.54Jan 20, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 14% and 16% of votes in the first round?$50.00Jan 19, 20:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill André Ventura win between 22% and 24% of votes in the first round?$334.85Jan 19, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win between 22% and 24% of votes in the first round?$334.00Jan 19, 02:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?$14.60Aug 11, 14:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$40.00Aug 3, 23:04 UTC
- MERGEWill the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?$40.00Jul 30, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?$15.00Jul 30, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?$17.80Jul 30, 01:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $45.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 23:55 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 22, 23:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".