Ordinary-Pickaxe
0xe59785af622fc21388fc55650af8f4852d829c19
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$69.25
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
5522 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-53.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
5441 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-199.99
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?
1900 shares @ 26.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-505.40
- YES
Will Bitcoin close above $120K on July 31?
713 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-213.67
- YES
Bitcoin above $118,000 on July 30?
647 shares @ 46.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?
400 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-184.00
- YES
Will Powell say "Spike" during July Press Conference?
230 shares @ 52.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-120.00
- YES
Bitcoin above $118,000 on July 18?
147 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-110.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" this week?
54 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Tea App removed from App Store by August 31?
43 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?$389.42Dec 11, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.33Dec 11, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?$6.65Dec 11, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?$108.00Dec 11, 07:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?$519.24Dec 6, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?$240.56Dec 4, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?$0.14Dec 4, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?$2.56Dec 3, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?$206.31Dec 3, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?$0.43Dec 3, 07:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?$225.00Dec 1, 06:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?$225.00Dec 1, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?$214.52Nov 27, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?$100.00Nov 27, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $125K in August?$35.10Aug 16, 03:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $130K in August?$279.41Aug 16, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130K in August?$593.65Aug 10, 23:45 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$593.65Aug 10, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $125K in August?$50.00Aug 10, 22:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Peanut" this week?$0.00Aug 6, 08:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $189.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 00:30 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 11, 08:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".