Gentle-Passport
0xe59d69d40a9e5962a7d507c95736bfa5ed3bb97b
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$17.16
Total PnL
$-977.84
Realised
$11.51
Win rate
98%
48 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on July 29?
52 shares @ 19.2¢·now 17.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$8.90
$-1.17
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 30?
44 shares @ 22.7¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$8.15
$-1.85
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 28?
44 shares @ 22.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.11
$-9.86
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 2?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 16°C on May 2?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on May 2?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 22°C or below on May 2?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on May 2?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C or below on May 2?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 14°C or below on May 2?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 30?$6.61Jul 28, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on July 28?$1.25Jul 28, 17:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on July 28?$2.18Jul 28, 17:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 28?$4.65Jul 28, 17:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 30?$5.18Jul 28, 17:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 30?$0.48Jul 28, 17:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 28?$2.07Jul 28, 17:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 29?$3.20Jul 28, 16:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 29?$7.35Jul 28, 16:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 30?$11.04Jul 28, 16:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 30?$6.70Jul 28, 16:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on July 30?$11.09Jul 28, 16:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 30?$4.63Jul 28, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on July 30?$3.86Jul 28, 16:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 30?$9.86Jul 28, 16:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on July 29?$6.68Jul 28, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 30?$0.65Jul 28, 15:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 30?$3.48Jul 28, 15:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 30?$0.23Jul 28, 15:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on July 28?$3.47Jul 28, 15:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
74/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
98% win rate over 48 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
48 closed markets, 98% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 13:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 17:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 48 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.