0xe5abb060c65b8536da8a999ebec678f72ca08b8d
0xe5abb060c65b8536da8a999ebec678f72ca08b8d
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$24.17
Total PnL
$-701.73
Realised
$22.64
Win rate
58%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
498 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.99
$0.00
- YES
Will Daniella Levine Cava be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?
480 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.2¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$0.96
$0.00
- YES
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will Bruce Walden win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will Amanda Lind be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$0.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will Daniel Helldén be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$0.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will Eduardo Leite finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.75
$-0.25
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027?$0.06Jul 29, 02:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027?$0.05Jul 29, 02:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027?$0.06Jul 29, 02:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027?$0.06Jul 29, 02:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027?$0.07Jul 29, 02:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027?$0.05Jul 29, 02:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027?$0.07Jul 29, 02:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027?$0.05Jul 28, 14:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027?$0.06Jul 28, 13:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027?$0.05Jul 28, 13:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027?$0.10Jul 28, 13:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027?$0.07Jul 28, 13:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027?$0.07Jul 28, 13:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027?$0.07Jul 28, 13:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$0.01Jul 28, 12:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$0.01Jul 28, 12:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$0.00Jul 28, 10:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$0.01Jul 28, 07:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$0.01Jul 28, 06:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?$0.33Jul 28, 04:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
58% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 31/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $0.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 21:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 02:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.