Kooky-Polyp
0xe5b19cad8c1ee80533a01d59dc6c95f8e3480346
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-283.79
Realised
$-169.80
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
1250 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will a balloon deflate during the 2025 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade?
1013 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?
416 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.78
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
286 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
256 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
161 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Epstein confirmed as foreign agent in 2025?
125 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?$2.78Jan 21, 00:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?$0.00Jan 21, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?$65.25Jan 20, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?$65.25Jan 20, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?$265.97Jan 19, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on January 19?$0.21Jan 19, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?$5.00Jan 19, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?$5.00Jan 19, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$5.00Jan 17, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$20.00Jan 14, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$20.00Jan 14, 09:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?$4.20Jan 13, 10:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?$185.34Jan 10, 14:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill ARC Raiders win Most Innovative Gameplay in the 2025 Steam Awards?$130.63Jan 3, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?$5.00Jan 3, 13:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another country boycott Eurovision 2026 by March 31, 2026?$5.67Jan 3, 13:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$0.00Jan 1, 15:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBrown University shooter arrested by December 31?$0.20Dec 31, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?$60.71Dec 23, 12:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?$2.87Dec 23, 12:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $44.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 7, 07:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 21, 00:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.