Deserted-Petal
0xe5c4c7971e7ddb01f9458fca473755626d41058f
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-87.43
Realised
$6.01
Win rate
100%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on October 17?
788 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-0.79
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?
210 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.89
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 17?
200 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-3.12
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116,000 and $118,000 on October 21?
180 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-2.06
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?
150 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-3.28
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?
90 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-4.66
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $116,000 October 13-19?
80 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-3.71
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $114,000 and $116,000 on October 17?
80 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.06
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 6PM ET
70 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025$0.00
$-4.40
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 18?
60 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-0.92
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $118,000 October 20-26?$2.00Oct 21, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150k in October?$1.89Oct 21, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130k in October?$1.44Oct 21, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $135k in October?$1.70Oct 21, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on October 21?$1.62Oct 21, 12:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on October 21?$1.75Oct 21, 12:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $95k in October?$1.47Oct 21, 12:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $90k in October?$1.94Oct 21, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130k in October?$1.02Oct 21, 11:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on October 21?$1.20Oct 21, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on October 21?$1.80Oct 21, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $114,000 and $116,000 on October 21?$0.06Oct 21, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $114,000 and $116,000 on October 21?$0.07Oct 21, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $114,000 and $116,000 on October 21?$0.04Oct 21, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $114,000 and $116,000 on October 21?$0.01Oct 21, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $114,000 and $116,000 on October 21?$0.07Oct 21, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $114,000 and $116,000 on October 21?$0.06Oct 21, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $114,000 and $116,000 on October 21?$0.03Oct 21, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $114,000 and $116,000 on October 21?$0.04Oct 21, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $114,000 and $116,000 on October 21?$0.07Oct 21, 01:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $0.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 17, 19:10 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 21, 21:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.