Superficial-Island
0xe5c50566bf9f7bb7dd2c244d3d0dac264539227d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$6.97
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Will there be a US Government shutdown?
78212 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-685.92
- NO
Will Trump say "Smart" or "High IQ" during the Black History Month reception?
5494 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-16.77
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?
1054 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-37.19
- YES
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
709 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-32.73
- YES
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?
486 shares @ 32.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-156.72
- YES
Will Trump publicly disparage Netanyahu this week?
455 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-13.94
- YES
Will "GOAT" Second Weekend Box Office be less than 15m?
310 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-12.40
- YES
Will Trump say "Black Vote" during the Black History Month reception?
293 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-152.30
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
259 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-33.73
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
258 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-103.38
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBrand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery$1.47May 24, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery$2.30May 24, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery$4.86May 24, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery$6.60May 23, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery$1.53May 23, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery$1.87May 23, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery$3.77May 23, 21:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$20.00Apr 13, 08:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?$18.60Apr 12, 22:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liftoff Mobile not IPO before April 2026?$19.95Apr 12, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.63Mar 16, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$17.60Mar 16, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.31Mar 16, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$28.49Mar 16, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$7.47Mar 16, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.08Mar 16, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$10.70Mar 16, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$13.95Mar 16, 00:41 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by December 31?$43.40Mar 16, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$96.20Mar 16, 00:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $18.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 16:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 24, 00:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".