Glistening-Maiden
0xe5c52b9335954849300d3f3e5fe978f1145d7c75
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$5.76
Total PnL
$-54.45
Realised
$-0.08
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will Kevin Montero win The Bachelorette Season 22?
1274 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.2¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$2.55
$-5.23
- YES
Will Trump's approval rating hit 44% in 2026?
21 shares @ 14.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.30
$-1.70
- YES
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
40 shares @ 2.5¢·now 2.8¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- YES
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 3.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.32
$-0.68
- YES
Barstool After Dark: Will the crew bowl a 300?
2910 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.91
- YES
Will Trump talk to Yoon Suk Yeol in April?
192 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.99
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
106 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
79 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.39
- YES
Will Trump talk to Kim Jong Un in April?
57 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.31
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Montero win The Bachelorette Season 22?$7.78Apr 25, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBarstool After Dark: Will the crew bowl a 300?$0.61Apr 15, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBarstool After Dark: Will the crew bowl a 300?$0.32Apr 15, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBarstool After Dark: Will the crew bowl a 300?$0.49Apr 15, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBarstool After Dark: Will the crew bowl a 300?$0.58Apr 15, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBarstool After Dark: Will the crew bowl a 300?$1.00Apr 15, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$5.65Apr 7, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$2.00Apr 7, 22:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Mark Carney in April?$0.00Apr 7, 22:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$0.00Apr 7, 22:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$0.00Apr 7, 22:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bernie Sanders say "Existence" at the rally on Saturday?$0.00Apr 7, 22:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?$0.00Apr 7, 22:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$0.00Apr 7, 22:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bernie Sanders say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" at the rally on Saturday?$0.00Apr 7, 22:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bernie Sanders say "Mask" or "Masked" at the rally on Saturday?$0.00Apr 7, 22:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bernie Sanders say "Industry" at the rally on Saturday?$0.00Apr 7, 22:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in March?$0.00Apr 7, 22:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 160m and 170m?$0.00Apr 7, 22:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bernie Sanders say "Revolution" at the rally on Saturday?$0.00Apr 7, 22:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
12 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $2.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 4, 10:22 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 25, 01:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.