Gloomy-Elongation
0xe5c691f1e93d25dd561cc60bcf7b5801fdf0c53a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
100000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
63713 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
36104 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-139.65
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
30423 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-95.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 3°C on December 17?
30000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
28508 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-74.04
- YES
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
26667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Will Medline not IPO by December 31, 2025?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
11200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-112.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
11124 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-26.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$41.19Apr 19, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$8.81Apr 19, 21:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CA Mineiro win on 2026-04-19?$44.95Apr 19, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA Mineiro win on 2026-04-19?$50.00Apr 19, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?$30.00Apr 19, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fluminense FC win on 2026-04-19?$109.53Apr 19, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fluminense FC win on 2026-04-19?$50.00Apr 19, 19:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week?$0.00Apr 19, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$5.00Apr 18, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$10.00Apr 18, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?$70.00Apr 18, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$97.00Apr 18, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$100.00Apr 18, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$15.00Apr 16, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$62.94Apr 16, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week?$20.00Apr 16, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week?$100.00Apr 16, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$28.00Apr 15, 19:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?$33.51Apr 15, 19:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?$248.74Apr 15, 19:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $133.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 1, 05:11 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 19, 21:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.