Barren-Sleuth
0xe5d7f91f7886fc307f3b17b9af56686b7857d8a3
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$17.6K
Total PnL
$-248.64
Realised
$567.21
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy?
7842 shares @ 88.7¢·now 91.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2028$7.2K
$225.92
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
6499 shares @ 96.4¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.3K
$9.79
- NO
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?
4743 shares @ 87.5¢·now 88.3¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.2K
$35.26
- NO
Will Isaac del Toro win the White Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?
2294 shares @ 39.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$0.00
$-897.42
- YES
Will Jasper Philipsen be awarded the Green Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?
760 shares @ 17.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$0.00
$-130.74
- YES
Will Paul Seixas win the White Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?
154 shares @ 29.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$0.00
$-45.16
- YES
Will Valentin Paret-Peintre be awarded the Polka Dot Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?
50 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$0.00
$-13.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?$88.40Jul 29, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?$263.37Jul 29, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$2.1KJul 29, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$164.07Jul 29, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$133.58Jul 29, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$30.49Jul 29, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$192.80Jul 29, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$10.04Jul 29, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?$22.78Jul 29, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?$266.37Jul 29, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?$28.00Jul 29, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?$62.50Jul 29, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?$1.0KJul 29, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?$1.8KJul 29, 07:18 UTC
- REWARD$1.03Jul 29, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Richard Carapaz be awarded the Polka Dot Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?$730.79Jul 27, 01:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Abel Balderstone finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France?$205.00Jul 26, 22:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ewen Costiou finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France?$299.03Jul 26, 22:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Marco Frigo finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France?$212.73Jul 26, 22:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Magnus Cort finish top 3 in the 2026 Tour De France?$55.27Jul 26, 22:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
24 live trades, 1 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami?
$10.0K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $269.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 21:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 17:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.