Tepid-Willow
0xe5e194f275e2695fc523e8cdd43050bb14689897
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
41
Open notional
$112.87
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- NO
Will Nansen launch a token by March 31, 2026?
85 shares @ 93.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$85.47
$5.47
- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?
27 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$27.40
$7.40
- YES
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?
167 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-10-28?
149 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?
125 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Will Aztec launch a token in 2025?
114 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?
105 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-11?
89 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-04?
83 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Sevilla win on 2025-11-24?
80 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: NAVI Junior vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - United21 Playoffs$5.15Mar 14, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: NAVI Junior vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - United21 Playoffs$5.00Mar 7, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-11?$25.00Jan 11, 20:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?$28.17Jan 11, 11:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$37.88Jan 11, 11:43 UTC
- REDEEMOver $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?$43.01Jan 10, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?$20.00Jan 8, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nansen launch a token by March 31, 2026?$80.00Jan 8, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?$40.00Jan 8, 11:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$104.71Jan 7, 19:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah disarm in 2025?$25.19Jan 2, 17:46 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?$28.99Jan 2, 17:46 UTC
- REDEEMGPT ads by December 31?$105.49Jan 2, 17:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?$21.57Jan 1, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rabby launch a token in 2025?$35.71Jan 1, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?$43.01Jan 1, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?$46.78Jan 1, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?$60.75Jan 1, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?$81.97Jan 1, 10:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$104.18Jan 1, 10:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $44.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 11, 20:19 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 14, 19:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.