Kind-Sardine
0xe5e905f127344b28fd6549441af613f5c0074a1d
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-27.36
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 6-9%?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will turnout in the first round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be at least 53%?
883 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-17.64
- YES
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 3-6%?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 15%+?
366 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Mikie Sherrill win by less than 3%?
183 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
154 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?
30 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.72
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the first round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be at least 53%?$17.64Nov 7, 07:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Gaza on November 5?$17.64Nov 7, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out by November 30, 2025?$1.72Nov 7, 03:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end November 4-7?$1.07Nov 7, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mikie Sherrill win by 15%+?$2.00Nov 7, 01:29 UTC
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out in 2025?$1.68Nov 7, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mikie Sherrill win by 15%+?$1.00Nov 6, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mikie Sherrill win by 6-9%?$1.00Nov 6, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mikie Sherrill win by less than 3%?$1.00Nov 6, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$2.00Nov 6, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mikie Sherrill win by 3-6%?$1.00Nov 6, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out in 2025?$1.00Nov 6, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 4-7?$1.00Nov 6, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 4-7?$1.00Nov 6, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out in 2025?$1.00Nov 5, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on November 5?$2.00Nov 5, 10:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $3.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 10:06 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 7, 07:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.