0xe5f0297080e6e5ba4b9bfef0df4d15300a2ecec9
0xe5f0297080e6e5ba4b9bfef0df4d15300a2ecec9
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-50.89
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on April 17?
12874 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-12.87
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on April 17?
1901 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-19.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on April 17?
1901 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-19.01
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on April 17?$8.86Apr 17, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on April 17?$9.20Apr 17, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on April 17?$13.55Apr 17, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on April 17?$20.00Apr 17, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on April 17?$20.00Apr 17, 19:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on April 18?$3.27Apr 17, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on April 18?$4.46Apr 17, 19:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on April 16?$24.13Apr 16, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on April 16?$26.04Apr 16, 19:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on April 16?$9.41Apr 16, 18:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 16?$14.17Apr 16, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on April 16?$22.68Apr 16, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on April 16?$23.85Apr 16, 18:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on April 16?$0.18Apr 16, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on April 16?$1.80Apr 16, 17:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on April 17?$75.06Apr 16, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on April 17?$77.08Apr 16, 16:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on April 15?$1.05Apr 15, 15:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on April 15?$1.72Apr 15, 15:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on April 15?$4.65Apr 15, 15:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $10.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 14:15 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 17, 20:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.