Legal-Clockwork
0xe5f5a3416b3eba0860cc82fec341a87388eb28b7
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-364.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will there be no new Prime Minister of France?
10849 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-130.35
- YES
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
461 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-198.35
- YES
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet be the next Prime Minister of France?
209 shares @ 16.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-34.83
- YES
Will Élisabeth Borne be the next Prime Minister of France?
97 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.36
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?$320.26Mar 22, 19:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?$11.64Mar 22, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?$292.37Mar 22, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$198.35Oct 30, 12:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Olivier Faure be the next Prime Minister of France?$111.21Oct 11, 07:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bernard Cazeneuve be the next Prime Minister of France?$289.00Oct 11, 07:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?$2.0KOct 10, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no new Prime Minister of France?$50.00Oct 10, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernard Cazeneuve be the next Prime Minister of France?$50.00Oct 10, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olivier Faure be the next Prime Minister of France?$100.00Oct 10, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?$47.00Oct 10, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernard Cazeneuve be the next Prime Minister of France?$200.00Oct 10, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?$1.4KOct 10, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?$484.18Oct 10, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no new Prime Minister of France?$3.84Oct 10, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no new Prime Minister of France?$28.89Oct 10, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no new Prime Minister of France?$0.35Oct 10, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no new Prime Minister of France?$5.95Oct 10, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no new Prime Minister of France?$6.27Oct 10, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no new Prime Minister of France?$2.84Oct 10, 06:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $772.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 15:13 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 22, 19:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.