0xe6000afcee6ea70d272e3ca3517708add214a907
0xe6000afcee6ea70d272e3ca3517708add214a907
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
129
Open notional
$88.00
Total PnL
$-259.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 129- NO
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
12 shares @ 90.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.60
$0.17
- NO
Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
8 shares @ 95.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$7.40
$-0.04
- NO
Will Harold "Rocky" Jones be the TN-04 Republican nominee?
5 shares @ 96.7¢·now 98.9¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$4.82
$0.10
- NO
Will Matt Maasdam be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?
5 shares @ 96.9¢·now 97.5¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$4.76
$0.03
- NO
Will Bridget Brink be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?
5 shares @ 95.6¢·now 96.6¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$4.67
$0.05
- NO
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
5 shares @ 86.2¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$4.24
$0.01
- NO
Will Tom Davis be the TN-04 Republican nominee?
4 shares @ 98.2¢·now 98.3¢·exp Aug 6, 2026$3.89
$0.00
- YES
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
4 shares @ 76.5¢·now 87.2¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$3.52
$0.43
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
6 shares @ 56.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$3.20
$-0.09
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 5?
3 shares @ 85.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Aug 5, 2026$2.86
$0.26
Recent activity
- REDEEMNational Bank Open: Tatjana Maria vs Caty McNally$1.56Aug 4, 04:12 UTC
- REDEEMPhoenix Mercury vs. Chicago Sky$1.68Aug 4, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanadian Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Gael Monfils$1.11Aug 4, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYNational Bank Open: Tatjana Maria vs Caty McNally$1.02Aug 4, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhoenix Mercury vs. Chicago Sky$1.37Aug 4, 02:38 UTC
- REDEEMNational Bank Open: Michael Zheng vs Miomir Kecmanovic$2.75Aug 4, 01:28 UTC
- REDEEMNational Bank Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Yannick Hanfmann$1.51Aug 4, 01:25 UTC
- REDEEMCA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Independiente: O/U 2.5$4.25Aug 4, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYCA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Independiente: O/U 2.5$1.33Aug 3, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYCA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Independiente: O/U 2.5$1.32Aug 3, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYCA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Independiente: O/U 2.5$1.32Aug 3, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYNational Bank Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Yannick Hanfmann$1.13Aug 3, 23:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gérald Darmanin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?$6.18Aug 3, 23:34 UTC
- REDEEMMubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodar$2.02Aug 3, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on August 4?$1.19Aug 3, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 4?$1.23Aug 3, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?$1.30Aug 3, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?$1.10Aug 3, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?$1.22Aug 3, 16:44 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group$5.11Aug 3, 16:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $2.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 3, 01:41 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 4, 04:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.