Formal-Language
0xe603a970464a07ce2298a4a980b30b1e4b40e2a1
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$100.85
Total PnL
$-25.09
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on May 31?
100 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.4¢·exp May 31, 2026$99.83
$-0.17
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on May 12?
1 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on March 28?
4650 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.65
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?
2300 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.30
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2200 in July?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- PACERS
Pacers vs. Thunder
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- BORUSSIA DORTMUND
Spread: Borussia Dortmund (-1.5)
4 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- LAKERS
Warriors vs. Lakers
2 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- THUNDER
Spread: Thunder (-13.5)
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on May 31?$100.02May 30, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on May 12?$1.00May 11, 08:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 6?$1.04May 11, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 6?$1.00May 5, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on April 29?$1.19May 4, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on April 29?$1.00Apr 28, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?$2.30Mar 30, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on March 28?$4.65Mar 28, 08:58 UTC
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out by June 30?$0.98Mar 28, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out by June 30?$1.00Jan 3, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$2.00Dec 7, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Thunder (-11.5)$1.00Dec 7, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Nuggets (-10.5)$1.00Dec 7, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Celtics (-2.5)$1.00Dec 7, 12:40 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Knicks (-8.5)$1.79Dec 7, 12:38 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Raptors (-9.5)$1.89Dec 7, 12:38 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Rockets (-11.5)$1.89Dec 7, 12:38 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Nuggets (-8.5)$1.92Dec 7, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Thunder (-13.5)$1.00Nov 30, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Grizzlies (-3.5)$1.00Nov 30, 12:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $4.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 10:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 02:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".