Sarcastic-Competitor
0xe6050687fbeb55251f03425e3c53dcd40a650bd6
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-198.24
Realised
$0.47
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
23400 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-23.40
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
7000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
4173 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-30.05
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
2338 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
2236 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-34.79
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
2143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - March 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
407 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-15.14
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
400 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - March 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
60 shares @ 24.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-14.68
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$8.40May 9, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$5.00May 9, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$7.00May 9, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$10.00May 9, 17:46 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 18, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$9.89Mar 17, 13:36 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - March 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$10.05Mar 17, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$7.20Mar 17, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$5.00Mar 17, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$10.00Mar 17, 13:32 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - March 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$12.34Mar 17, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$10.00Mar 17, 13:31 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - March 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$10.31Mar 17, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$10.00Mar 17, 13:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$19.73Mar 17, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$4.80Mar 17, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$5.00Mar 17, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$5.00Mar 17, 13:21 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - March 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$2.32Mar 17, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - March 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$1.70Mar 17, 13:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $7.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 25, 00:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 9, 18:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.