0xe6055a224d277a3eb39df9ee5ea8201c55c4ac5f
0xe6055a224d277a3eb39df9ee5ea8201c55c4ac5f
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$2.4K
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$166.86
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?
2034 shares @ 27.5¢·now 22.5¢·exp Aug 9, 2026$457.57
$-101.41
- YES
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?
596 shares @ 57.1¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$402.29
$61.88
- YES
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?
728 shares @ 45.9¢·now 50.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$367.79
$33.40
- YES
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026?
2566 shares @ 14.8¢·now 13.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2026$333.62
$-46.22
- YES
Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?
1276 shares @ 39.2¢·now 21.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$274.30
$-225.70
- YES
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?
3448 shares @ 2.9¢·now 5.1¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$174.14
$74.14
- NO
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
1192 shares @ 21.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$149.01
$-100.99
- YES
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
5783 shares @ 17.3¢·now 2.3¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$130.11
$-870.63
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?
911 shares @ 11.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$72.87
$-27.13
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by August 31, 2026?
2943 shares @ 3.4¢·now 2.4¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$69.15
$-30.91
Recent activity
- REWARD$3.59Aug 7, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026?$6.00Aug 7, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026?$373.84Aug 7, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?$558.99Aug 7, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?$235.00Aug 7, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group$103.40Aug 7, 07:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?$409.39Aug 6, 22:05 UTC
- MERGEMicrostrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?$125.42Aug 6, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicrostrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?$15.32Aug 6, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?$334.39Aug 6, 06:14 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.47Aug 6, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLGianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?$271.15Aug 5, 22:12 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner$0.00Aug 5, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group$0.00Aug 5, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group$3.56Aug 5, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$250.00Aug 5, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group$512.25Aug 5, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner$256.00Aug 5, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicrostrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?$218.17Aug 5, 09:25 UTC
- TRADESELLGianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?$305.09Aug 5, 08:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $212.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 1, 08:31 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 7, 20:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.