0xe6074577d4165c16689a54261814e4d925678201
0xe6074577d4165c16689a54261814e4d925678201
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-201.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 16 above $260?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of March 16 above $245?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $275-$280 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of March 16 above $400?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of March 16 above $385?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 16 above $205?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of March 16 above $415?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UNDER
SD Huesca vs. UD Almería: O/U 1.5
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Meta (META) close above $620 on March 20?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- REAL MADRID
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Real Madrid
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$1.00Mar 20, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$0.91Mar 20, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$1.00Mar 20, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$1.00Mar 20, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Unicorn Academy: Secrets Revealed" be the top US Netflix show this week?$0.98Mar 20, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on March 23?$0.96Mar 20, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be 71°F or below on March 23?$0.50Mar 20, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C or below on March 24?$0.22Mar 20, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C or below on March 23?$0.99Mar 20, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 9°C or below on March 23?$1.00Mar 20, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be 41°F or below on March 23?$0.31Mar 20, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on March 23?$0.84Mar 20, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on March 23?$1.00Mar 20, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 23?$1.00Mar 20, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C or below on March 23?$0.23Mar 20, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei post 160-179 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$0.91Mar 20, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on March 23?$0.97Mar 20, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Mark Normand: None Too Pleased" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?$0.88Mar 20, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C or below on March 23?$1.00Mar 20, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 4°C or below on March 23?$1.00Mar 20, 20:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 20:10 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 20, 20:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.