Serene-Processing
0xe61cdc8a25a5ddd2893de8bf2fb3ebaff357f19c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
42
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
80157 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-499.78
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?
11537 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-90.96
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
10000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?
8451 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-29.99
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
6981 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-59.99
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
5959 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-165.99
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
5833 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
3947 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
2000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 2?
1825 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-16.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$2.00Feb 12, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$9.00Feb 12, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$5.00Feb 1, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?$5.00Feb 1, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$5.00Feb 1, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?$5.00Feb 1, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$20.00Jan 22, 19:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$0.00Jan 14, 17:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$0.00Jan 14, 17:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$0.00Jan 14, 17:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$0.00Jan 14, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$20.00Jan 13, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$10.00Jan 12, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?$1.00Jan 11, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?$2.00Jan 10, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$10.00Jan 10, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike another country first?$4.00Jan 10, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Iran next?$10.00Jan 10, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$1.00Jan 10, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?$4.00Jan 10, 20:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $20.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 22, 13:54 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 12, 19:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.