0xe627015dc7d555998066991d393217345bb0e145
0xe627015dc7d555998066991d393217345bb0e145
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$523.30
Total PnL
$-11.73
Realised
$-10.29
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by March 31, 2026?
142 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$141.66
$65.16
- YES
Will Josh Safdie be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
121 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$121.00
$47.19
- DOWN
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on November 21?
73 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$73.00
$37.96
- YES
Will Frankenstein win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?
68 shares @ 74.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$68.27
$17.17
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
100 shares @ 49.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$51.00
$2.00
- NO
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?
30 shares @ 81.0¢·now 81.7¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$24.51
$0.21
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
47 shares @ 49.9¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$23.24
$-0.20
- NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
125 shares @ 29.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$20.63
$-15.63
- DOWN
NYA (NYA) Up or Down on November 21?
134 shares @ 46.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-61.79
- NO
Will a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by March 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-43.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Frankenstein be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$66.00Nov 29, 06:30 UTC
- REWARD$5.45Nov 28, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jafar Panahi be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?$36.55Nov 27, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Frankenstein win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 98th Academy Awards?$47.25Nov 27, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Safdie be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?$73.81Nov 27, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Frankenstein be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$72.00Nov 27, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jafar Panahi be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?$17.20Nov 27, 11:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.30Nov 27, 11:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?$19.41Nov 27, 11:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?$2.31Nov 27, 11:54 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump declares another national emergency by December 31?$53.28Nov 27, 11:15 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump declares another national emergency by December 31?$18.98Nov 27, 11:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?$10.23Nov 27, 07:08 UTC
- REWARD$7.18Nov 27, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declares another national emergency by December 31?$82.00Nov 26, 22:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?$53.24Nov 26, 21:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBackpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?$3.94Nov 26, 20:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?$24.00Nov 26, 20:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBackpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?$1.93Nov 26, 16:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?$20.72Nov 26, 12:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $26.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 25, 18:44 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 29, 06:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.