0xe62c76d1a69cb9b55039a8a0259befc3424337c5
0xe62c76d1a69cb9b55039a8a0259befc3424337c5
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$237.12
Total PnL
$-46.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 21?
81 shares @ 49.4¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$79.33
$39.16
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 20?
129 shares @ 42.1¢·now 38.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$48.89
$-5.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 21?
110 shares @ 24.8¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$32.37
$5.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on June 20?
62 shares @ 43.9¢·now 35.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$21.69
$-5.53
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on June 21?
189 shares @ 14.5¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$19.82
$-7.61
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 21?
29 shares @ 45.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$15.13
$2.04
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on June 21?
28 shares @ 35.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$10.96
$1.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 21?
37 shares @ 27.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$7.96
$-2.04
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
15 shares @ 8.3¢·now 5.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.89
$-0.35
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 20?
179 shares @ 40.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.09
$-72.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on June 21?$28.74Jun 19, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on June 21?$10.07Jun 19, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 21?$13.52Jun 19, 23:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on June 20?$28.12Jun 19, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 21?$28.38Jun 19, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 21?$10.41Jun 19, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 21?$41.39Jun 19, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 20?$56.01Jun 19, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on June 20?$75.60Jun 19, 21:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$292.20Jun 19, 20:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$0.00Jun 18, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$133.71Jun 17, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$133.74Jun 16, 23:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$0.00Jun 16, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$37.61Jun 13, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$134.00Jun 13, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$171.62Jun 13, 04:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$0.00Jun 13, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$63.96Jun 10, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?$21.14Jun 10, 19:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $33.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 14:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 23:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.