Deadly-Polyp
0xe6477d83f1b7fd97a77593f0b3e8a932f6213162
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.12
Total PnL
$-231.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
46 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.12
$-2.88
- YES
Will Twitter add an edit button by June 30?
412 shares @ 19.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2022$0.00
$-81.59
- YES
Will PSV win on 2026-01-21?
190 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will PSV win on 2026-01-24?
120 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-40.80
- NO
Will Ukraine become a European Union candidate country by July 31st?
72 shares @ 27.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2022$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet in person before June 2022?
71 shares @ 14.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2022$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-21?
60 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 21?
57 shares @ 88.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-50.05
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?
51 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
33 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill SC Heerenveen win on 2026-02-11?$55.00Feb 23, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SC Heerenveen win on 2026-02-11?$20.35Feb 11, 18:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?$18.40Feb 11, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSV win on 2026-01-24?$0.33Jan 24, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSV win on 2026-01-24?$40.47Jan 24, 20:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?$18.15Jan 24, 19:59 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$6.00Jan 24, 19:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$17.00Jan 24, 19:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 22, 2026?$0.31Jan 23, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$14.54Jan 22, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-21?$4.20Jan 21, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSV win on 2026-01-21?$1.90Jan 21, 21:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?$21.93Jan 21, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 21?$50.05Jan 21, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?$3.00Jan 21, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?$3.00Jan 21, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?$15.00Jan 21, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$3.00Jan 21, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?$9.00Jan 20, 23:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?$3.00Jan 20, 23:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $11.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 00:07 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 23, 21:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.