Partial-Skull
0xe648c4773795b55f1c5ee9fdf19602d97150fb2e
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-9.4K
Realised
$-8.31
Win rate
71%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
812 shares @ 19.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-159.45
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
766 shares @ 13.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
614 shares @ 65.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
554 shares @ 54.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
514 shares @ 39.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-204.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
507 shares @ 39.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
456 shares @ 36.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-165.63
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
405 shares @ 49.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$1.32Jul 21, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$1.02Jul 21, 21:51 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$1.15Jul 21, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$1.01Jul 21, 21:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$1.11Jul 21, 21:41 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$1.25Jul 21, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$1.01Jul 21, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$1.01Jul 21, 21:38 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$1.22Jul 21, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$1.02Jul 21, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$1.01Jul 21, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$1.03Jul 21, 21:19 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$1.37Jul 21, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 21, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$1.02Jul 21, 21:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$1.54Jul 21, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$1.02Jul 21, 20:52 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 21, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$1.16Jul 21, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 21, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$1.01Jul 21, 19:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$1.22Jul 21, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$1.01Jul 21, 19:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
71% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $1.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 18:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 21:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.