0xe64d2d1ec92d97aff9f6709b3dbf16d4c406c512
0xe64d2d1ec92d97aff9f6709b3dbf16d4c406c512
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$47.66
Total PnL
$-24.5K
Realised
$-10.3K
Win rate
0%
110 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
118 shares @ 42.6¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$47.66
$-2.44
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
552 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-11.96
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
399 shares @ 56.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-224.41
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
395 shares @ 54.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-214.27
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
375 shares @ 47.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-177.23
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
350 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-188.84
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
347 shares @ 42.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-147.54
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
336 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-177.90
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
329 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-190.93
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 19, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
324 shares @ 50.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-164.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$13.50Jul 22, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$5.74Jul 22, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$7.96Jul 22, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$7.96Jul 22, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$7.82Jul 22, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$7.81Jul 22, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$7.81Jul 22, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$7.01Jul 22, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$1.33Jul 22, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$7.51Jul 22, 20:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$1.12Jul 22, 20:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$12.87Jul 22, 20:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$12.87Jul 22, 20:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$16.83Jul 22, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$11.29Jul 22, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$11.30Jul 22, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$15.13Jul 22, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$0.62Jul 22, 19:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$15.84Jul 22, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$15.06Jul 22, 19:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 110 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
110 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $12.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 15:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 20:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 110 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.