Sparse-Pastry
0xe650f816a40b4250ff6d3593046c801055ba1e3f
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
92
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-12.1K
Realised
$-199.59
Win rate
50%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 92- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
10000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
10000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
2000 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
2000 shares @ 98.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
1453 shares @ 68.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
- NO
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
836 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
508 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
470 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-465.30
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$0.00Jul 29, 07:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$101.01Jul 29, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$100.07Jul 29, 06:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET$102.86Jul 29, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET$100.19Jul 29, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$76.74Jul 29, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$51.22Jul 29, 04:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$54.96Jul 29, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET$50.35Jul 29, 04:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$76.97Jul 29, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET$51.23Jul 29, 03:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$0.00Jul 29, 03:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$52.63Jul 29, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$50.17Jul 29, 03:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$0.00Jul 29, 03:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$52.63Jul 29, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$50.17Jul 29, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$106.93Jul 29, 03:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$0.00Jul 29, 02:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$102.04Jul 29, 02:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
22 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $86.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 08:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 07:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.