Flickering-Exception
0xe658a7ca5a3389217dc9e4fe2c95952ad2aa488b
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
40
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-142.96
Realised
$3.69
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C or higher on March 16?
3153 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-7.44
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 18?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 16?
791 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 10°C on March 19?
429 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 21?
400 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C or higher on March 17?
261 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 24?
240 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.94
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 19?
210 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-4.86
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 16?
189 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-9.69
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on March 23?
182 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.91
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$0.02Apr 17, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$3.96Apr 17, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$1.01Apr 17, 13:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 10°C on March 17?$0.00Apr 12, 17:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 2?$0.00Apr 3, 07:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on April 2?$0.00Apr 3, 07:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on April 2?$0.00Apr 3, 07:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 2?$0.00Apr 3, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on April 2?$0.00Apr 3, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C or higher on April 2?$0.00Apr 3, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on April 2?$0.00Apr 3, 07:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on April 2?$0.00Apr 3, 07:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on April 2?$0.00Apr 3, 07:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C or higher on April 2?$0.00Apr 3, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on April 3?$0.17Apr 3, 06:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 23°C or below on April 3?$1.92Apr 3, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 3?$0.71Apr 3, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 3?$0.08Apr 3, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 3?$0.66Apr 3, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 3?$0.58Apr 3, 00:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $1.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 03:33 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 17, 13:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.