0xe65b8e709aa1a5e5a5a83dd10c392b0a5c57339f
0xe65b8e709aa1a5e5a5a83dd10c392b0a5c57339f
Wallet digest
Activity score
39/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
54
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-213.05
Realised
$-5.20
Win rate
22%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 27?
1000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 27?
502 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 27?
385 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
130 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
72 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
53 shares @ 26.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
44 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
41 shares @ 20.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.00
$-8.13
- NEW YORK YANKEES
New York Yankees vs. Athletics
39 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-23.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 25-31?
37 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.00Jul 6, 13:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$0.01Jul 1, 06:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?$0.00Jun 30, 23:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?$0.00Jun 30, 22:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran close its airspace by June 30?$0.00Jun 22, 00:40 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$0.00Jun 21, 14:00 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?$0.00Jun 20, 00:52 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?$0.00Jun 18, 00:38 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$0.00Jun 18, 00:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran close its airspace by July 15?$0.00Jun 17, 22:11 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$0.01Jun 16, 01:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?$0.00Jun 15, 07:39 UTC
- MERGEWill Iran close its airspace by June 30?$1.10Jun 15, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?$2.46Jun 15, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori?$0.72Jun 15, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?$0.98Jun 15, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$0.97Jun 15, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBase FDV above $12B one day after launch?$0.81Jun 15, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$1.00Jun 15, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?$0.75Jun 15, 06:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
22% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $1.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 00:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 13:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.