Victorious-Washcloth
0xe65c564c8cc541e69d219f3c7d6eafadfad852ca
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$11.36
Total PnL
$-457.34
Realised
$-13.45
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- CDT REALORURO
Spread: GV CD San José (-2.5)
5 shares @ 96.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp May 30, 2026$2.52
$-2.27
- GV CD SAN JOSÉ
Spread: CDT RealOruro (-2.5)
5 shares @ 98.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp May 30, 2026$2.52
$-2.38
- UNDER
CDT RealOruro vs. GV CD San José: O/U 4.5
5 shares @ 96.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp May 30, 2026$2.52
$-2.27
- UNDER
CDT RealOruro vs. GV CD San José: O/U 3.5
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp May 30, 2026$2.48
$-2.22
- NO
Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-05-24?
3 shares @ 71.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$1.08
$-1.02
- YES
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.14
$-2.66
- YES
Will Club Guabirá win on 2026-05-24?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.09
$-0.93
- YES
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?
500 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.50
- YES
Will AEK win on 2026-04-09?
118 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.51
- YES
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?
111 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.32
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?$1.03Jul 3, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?$0.05Jun 27, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?$2.71Jun 27, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?$3.14Jun 27, 14:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?$11.97Jun 26, 22:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?$8.28Jun 26, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?$71.74Jun 25, 19:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$27.66Jun 25, 19:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?$50.38Jun 25, 19:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$95.56Jun 25, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$45.00Jun 25, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?$0.42Jun 25, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?$10.50Jun 25, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?$21.31Jun 25, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?$24.00Jun 25, 17:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$46.05Jun 25, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?$21.00Jun 25, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?$27.58Jun 25, 17:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$94.00Jun 25, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$42.72Jun 25, 05:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $24.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 23:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 23:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.