Flawed-Paramecium
0xe667ae49fa1ac10f108af248d39ef11f53eb4aee
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-468.92
Realised
$-5.87
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
39050 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-195.25
- HEROIC
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In
351 shares @ 19.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-66.96
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
234 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-58.45
- YES
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?
202 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-48.50
- NUGGETS
Nuggets vs. Pistons
199 shares @ 13.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-26.24
- YES
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?
103 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-20.69
- NO
Puka Nacua: Anytime Touchdown
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?
77 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.38
- YES
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?
60 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-8.97
- YES
Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
58 shares @ 18.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.65
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 3, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 1, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 30, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 28, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 26, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 25, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$201.08Jun 24, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England vs. Croatia end in a draw?$5.53Jun 17, 21:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Croatia win on 2026-06-17?$5.18Jun 17, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win on 2026-06-17?$65.73Jun 17, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt win on 2026-06-15?$9.20Jun 15, 17:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win on 2026-06-15?$9.22Jun 15, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-15?$22.82Jun 15, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYAustria vs. Jordan: O/U 1.5 AND Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 1.5 AND Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5 AND Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5 AND Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5 AND France vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5 AND Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND Will France win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?$5.62Jun 15, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$3.08Jun 14, 21:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Japan win on 2026-06-14?$6.66Jun 14, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-14?$3.52Jun 14, 21:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $69.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 26, 01:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 00:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.