Passionate-Lag
0xe66a6c352f9fcbb722053a1699db00f7464fe507
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$2.93
Total PnL
$-3.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Yoon reinstated as President before July?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$1.69
$0.69
- YES
Will Uber Technologies (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?
1 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$1.23
$0.23
- YES
Will xAI have the top AI model on April 30?
4 shares @ 22.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Ethereum above $3,500 on January 10?
4 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- SUNS
Suns vs. Hornets
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Uber Technologies (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Nov 4, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on April 30?$1.00Mar 29, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYYoon reinstated as President before July?$1.00Mar 29, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $3,500 on January 10?$2.00Jan 7, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSuns vs. Hornets$1.00Jan 7, 18:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FDP win the most seats in the next German election?$2.67Dec 27, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FDP win the most seats in the next German election?$4.00Dec 27, 06:11 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$6.40Dec 27, 06:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Romuald Starosielec be the next President of Poland?$3.00Dec 27, 06:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Waldemar Witkowski be the next President of Poland?$3.55Dec 27, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Romuald Starosielec be the next President of Poland?$6.00Dec 27, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Waldemar Witkowski be the next President of Poland?$7.00Dec 27, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$8.00Dec 27, 04:13 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?$98.89Dec 27, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?$100.00Dec 24, 22:42 UTC
- REDEEMJake Paul vs. Mike Tyson fight rigged?$0.41Dec 24, 22:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jerome Powell say "inflation" 40 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?$0.68Dec 24, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell say "inflation" 40 or more times during December FOMC Press Conference?$0.50Nov 18, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYJake Paul vs. Mike Tyson fight rigged?$0.40Nov 18, 00:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 18, 00:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
22 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 63/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $11.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 26, 09:21 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 4, 05:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.