Cooperative-Jelly
0xe66e12d5e56d8578aa036a55a8ca20a8e511e1b4
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
93
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-587.66
Realised
$3.76
Win rate
40%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 93- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1190 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 31?
550 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 8?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
400 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - February 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
374 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Cabo Verde?
357 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
270 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-22.94
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 40-41°F on May 8?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$30.14Jul 12, 04:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Norway 1 - 3 England?$2.09Jul 11, 21:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Cabo Verde?$12.01Jul 3, 23:25 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?$5.14Jul 3, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Cabo Verde?$5.13Jul 3, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Cabo Verde?$5.14Jul 3, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?$5.12Jul 3, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Cabo Verde?$5.15Jul 3, 21:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
30/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
40% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $7.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 02:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 04:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.