Indelible-Breadfruit
0xe670b3c72fc1e615e7e8dd2d96016579c29d3520
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$9.42
Total PnL
$-122.48
Realised
$-67.57
Win rate
20%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli win the next Lima mayoral elections?
119 shares @ 3.4¢·now 4.2¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$4.92
$0.92
- YES
Will Club Alianza Lima win on 2026-08-15?
3 shares @ 75.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$1.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will Club Alianza Lima vs. CU Técnica de Cajamarca end in a draw?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo win the next Lima mayoral elections?
22 shares @ 4.5¢·now 2.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.56
$-0.44
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
3217 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-17.03
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?
1091 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Neither team to score first?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Club Alianza Lima win on 2026-08-15?$1.01Aug 15, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Alianza Lima vs. CU Técnica de Cajamarca end in a draw?$1.04Aug 15, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Alianza Lima win on 2026-08-15?$1.01Aug 15, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?$1.03Aug 15, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli win the next Lima mayoral elections?$2.07Aug 14, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli win the next Lima mayoral elections?$1.04Aug 14, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo win the next Lima mayoral elections?$1.04Aug 14, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli win the next Lima mayoral elections?$1.04Aug 14, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. England end in a draw?$1.48Jul 16, 03:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill England vs. Argentina end in a draw?$0.00Jul 16, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England vs. Argentina end in a draw?$1.03Jul 15, 19:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England vs. Argentina end in a draw?$2.36Jul 15, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England vs. Argentina end in a draw?$2.07Jul 14, 23:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.60Jul 14, 23:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.49Jul 14, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03Jul 12, 03:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.02Jul 12, 03:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$1.56Jul 12, 03:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?$0.17Jul 12, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$1.02Jul 12, 02:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
40/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 20 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
20 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 22:26 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 15, 21:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.