Unusual-Salmon
0xe6840c5582edb3606fa43ed4e6759dea87e25bfa
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$11.08
Total PnL
$3.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- LAKERS
Lakers vs. Trail Blazers
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$4.00
$3.00
- YES
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Korea CEOs Luncheon on October 28?
2 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$2.38
$0.38
- NO
NATO x Russia military clash in 2025?
2 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.35
$0.35
- NO
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$1.27
$0.27
- YES
Will Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
1 shares @ 92.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$1.00Dec 4, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Trail Blazers$1.00Nov 4, 02:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Korea CEOs Luncheon on October 28?$2.00Oct 29, 01:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2.0KOct 21, 01:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Oct 21, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2.0KOct 20, 03:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.0KOct 20, 03:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Oct 20, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.22Oct 19, 00:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.20Oct 18, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.0KOct 17, 02:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2.1KOct 17, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2.1KOct 16, 01:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$2.1KOct 16, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$2.1KOct 15, 03:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$2.0KOct 15, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$2.0KOct 14, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Oct 11, 02:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?$2.82Oct 11, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?$2.00Sep 28, 04:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
18 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $1.1K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 28, 04:37 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 4, 01:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.