Same-Covariate
0xe68a0c50f34b400a66c0e0564f82a0cedaca09d2
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-10.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will Mark Kelly be D-nom for VP on Election Day?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Michigan Presidential Election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win New York Presidential Election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Gina Raimondo be D-nom for VP on Election Day?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Andy Beshear be D-nom for VP on Election Day?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom be D-nom for VP on Election Day?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Texas Presidential Election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Neither a Democrat nor a Republican wins popular vote?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Trump ineligible to run for President?
999 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Girona FC win La Liga?
20 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-0.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Dejounte Murray lead the NBA in Assists?$0.01Nov 3, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Immanuel Quickley lead the NBA in Assists?$0.01Nov 3, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Damian Lillard lead the NBA in Assists?$0.01Nov 3, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alperen Sengun lead the NBA in Assists?$0.01Nov 3, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Toronto Raptors win the 2025 NBA Finals?$0.01Nov 2, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump ineligible to run for President?$1.00Nov 2, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Athletic Bilbao win La Liga?$0.03Nov 1, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another team win La Liga?$0.02Nov 1, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Girona FC win La Liga?$0.06Nov 1, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RC Celta de Vigo win La Liga?$0.04Nov 1, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atletico Madrid win La Liga?$0.10Oct 31, 20:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 300-324 times Oct 25 - Nov 1?$0.00Oct 31, 19:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 275-299 times Oct 25 - Nov 1?$0.00Oct 31, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 300-324 times Oct 25 - Nov 1?$0.06Oct 30, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 275-299 times Oct 25 - Nov 1?$0.06Oct 30, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris get 88m or more votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?$0.07Oct 30, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump get 70-72m votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election?$0.05Oct 30, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump wins 281-257 - AZ, GA, NC, PA $0.06Oct 30, 12:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump tweet 20-29 times Oct 25 - Nov 1?$0.00Oct 30, 09:24 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael military action against Iraq before November?$0.00Oct 30, 09:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $31.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 29, 17:18 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 3, 14:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.