0xe68a9c5903b8ed3cdfa64388350082e388aeb402
0xe68a9c5903b8ed3cdfa64388350082e388aeb402
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-51.98
Realised
$-2.21
Win rate
0%
31 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on June 27?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on July 2?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 2?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on June 21?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C or below on June 29?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or below on June 22?
168 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.34
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 87°F or below on June 11?
90 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-0.72
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on June 17?
83 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 74°F or higher on June 4?
53 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 2?
49 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on July 3?$5.41Jul 4, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 2?$1.05Jul 2, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on July 2?$2.10Jul 2, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C or higher on July 2?$0.52Jul 1, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on July 3?$2.06Jul 1, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 1?$2.06Jun 30, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on June 30?$2.07Jun 30, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C or below on June 29?$1.05Jun 29, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C or higher on June 29?$2.09Jun 29, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on June 29?$2.07Jun 29, 06:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Seoul have between 100-110mm of precipitation in June?$0.39Jun 28, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on June 27?$2.10Jun 27, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C or below on June 29?$2.07Jun 27, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seoul have between 100-110mm of precipitation in June?$1.05Jun 26, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 28?$2.09Jun 26, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on June 26?$0.68Jun 25, 06:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C or below on June 21?$0.01Jun 22, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or below on June 22?$1.41Jun 21, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on June 21?$2.10Jun 21, 18:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C or below on June 21?$3.04Jun 20, 06:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
56/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 31 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 23/100.
31 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 15:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 31 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.