Big-Hearted-Lieutenant
0xe6953214b110bdaebb473952e69a8c50d47f538e
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$566.22
Total PnL
$-10.3K
Realised
$-180.20
Win rate
0%
183 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 100-101°F on August 23?
219 shares @ 73.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$104.12
$-55.88
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 21?
90 shares @ 34.2¢·now 99.9¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$89.67
$58.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 23?
61 shares @ 56.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$61.01
$26.45
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on August 23?
60 shares @ 44.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$59.97
$33.32
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 24?
149 shares @ 36.8¢·now 36.0¢·exp Aug 24, 2026$53.71
$-1.16
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 23?
100 shares @ 46.8¢·now 51.5¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$51.36
$4.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 23?
50 shares @ 58.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$49.98
$20.57
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 23?
50 shares @ 64.8¢·now 98.5¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$49.25
$16.85
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 24?
89 shares @ 34.5¢·now 34.5¢·exp Aug 24, 2026$30.84
$-0.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 23?
93 shares @ 34.5¢·now 17.5¢·exp Aug 23, 2026$16.19
$-15.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 24?$11.55Aug 23, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 24?$6.63Aug 23, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 24?$0.74Aug 23, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 24?$19.08Aug 23, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 24?$7.22Aug 23, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 24?$5.43Aug 23, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 24?$3.11Aug 23, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 24?$3.46Aug 23, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 24?$1.96Aug 23, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 24?$1.96Aug 23, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 24?$1.96Aug 23, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 24?$4.96Aug 23, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 24?$7.00Aug 23, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 24?$2.69Aug 23, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 24?$1.81Aug 23, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 24?$1.71Aug 23, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on August 24?$5.55Aug 23, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on August 24?$1.10Aug 23, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 24?$5.80Aug 23, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 24?$4.69Aug 23, 17:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
64/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 183 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 32/100.
183 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $8.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 23, 11:42 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 23, 18:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 183 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.