Polite-Selfconfidence
0xe69ed7d994fe78648968bce05397d6617c1d61d2
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will another candidate win the Polish presidential election?
49570 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2025$0.00
$-49.97
- YES
Zelenskyy x Putin talk before July?
2636 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-90.00
- YES
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Polish presidential election be more than 72%?
1500 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 120–134 times July 11–18?
1000 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 11–18?
625 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 150–164 times July 11–18?
555 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-99.96
- YES
Will Maja Chwalińska win the 2026 Women’s French Open?
487 shares @ 20.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?
435 shares @ 17.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 7, 2025$0.00
$-77.81
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?
334 shares @ 29.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 26, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?
323 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 26, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Maja Chwalińska win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$102.38Jun 6, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$100.00Mar 14, 23:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$97.08Mar 14, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$100.00Mar 14, 22:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$44.90Mar 14, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$100.00Mar 14, 22:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$100.00Mar 14, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$100.00Mar 14, 11:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$206.58Mar 14, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$200.00Mar 14, 11:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$96.55Mar 13, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$100.00Mar 13, 23:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$118.39Mar 13, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET$100.00Mar 13, 23:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$285.24Mar 13, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$100.00Mar 13, 23:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$200.00Mar 13, 23:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?$0.00Mar 12, 20:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$0.00Mar 12, 20:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?$0.00Mar 12, 20:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $147.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 5, 18:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 13:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.