Belated-Feeding
0xe6ad1abb1efacb952d3fe3b8779a6d83f5b1a3da
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-325.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Alexander Khabnyak win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?
11387 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2025$0.00
$-49.40
- YES
Will the AfD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election?
7567 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-22.70
- YES
Will Meta have the top AI model on January 31?
7517 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-21.79
- YES
Will the AfD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?
3956 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-63.00
- YES
Will Trump announce Arthur Laffer as next Fed Chair?
3341 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Agnieszka Dziemianowicz-Bąk be the next President of Poland?
2800 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-11.20
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by January 31, 2025?
2028 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-58.00
- YES
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair?
1556 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-23.70
- YES
Will Trump announce Judy Shelton as next Fed Chair?
1347 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-19.80
- YES
Will Meta have the top AI model on June 30?
1071 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-15.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce Judy Shelton as next Fed Chair?$19.80Jan 9, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair?$23.70Jan 9, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce Arthur Laffer as next Fed Chair?$40.00Jan 9, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?$46.00Jan 9, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $5,000 by January 31, 2025?$58.00Jan 9, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the top AI model on June 30?$15.90Jan 9, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the top AI model on January 31?$10.04Jan 9, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the top AI model on January 31?$11.76Jan 9, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Agnieszka Dziemianowicz-Bąk be the next President of Poland?$11.20Jan 9, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?$17.00Jan 9, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election?$22.70Jan 9, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alexander Khabnyak win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?$49.40Jan 8, 21:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
12 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $27.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 8, 21:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 9, 13:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.