Plump-Note
0xe6b8c4ec4b213070339dfaa381f1bf9a6e5571c4
Wallet digest
Activity score
35/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-77.91
Realised
$53.29
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
No Data Reported in 2025?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Trump declassifies JFK files in first week?
4500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Trump pardon less than 250 Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?
3140 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-6.25
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Was JFK assassination an inside job?
2141 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.17
- SCHIMEL
Wisconsin Supreme Court election: Susan Crawford vs. Brad Schimel
1086 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2025$0.00
$-6.03
- YES
Government shutdown on Saturday?
600 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-28.00
- ARSENAL FC
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
200 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Trump pardon 1,500 or more Jan 6 protestors in his first 100 days?
70 shares @ 11.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-8.15
- MANCHESTER UNITED FC
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)
10 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 24, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 23, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 21, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 28, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.