Marvelous-Sled
0xe6b8f7b57dc04d4f979fd1b52d14be8642307fed
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
112
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-2.10
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 112- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
10617 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-227.87
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
5833 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-166.46
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?
4000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?
3000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the first leader out in 2025?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the first leader out in 2025?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by January 31, 2025?
1730 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-40.50
- YES
Will Ali Khamenei be the first leader out in 2025?
1621 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.58
- YES
Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in 2025?
1505 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
1322 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-18.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on March 5, 2026 (ET)?$1.60Feb 25, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$3.00Feb 22, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$1.00Feb 22, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$1.00Feb 22, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$0.95Feb 22, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$5.00Feb 22, 04:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$12.30Feb 22, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$4.53Feb 22, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on March 5, 2026 (ET)?$3.60Feb 22, 04:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?$3.17Feb 22, 04:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?$1.21Feb 22, 04:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?$4.00Feb 22, 04:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?$1.88Feb 5, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?$1.00Jan 29, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?$1.00Jan 29, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?$1.00Jan 29, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 21, 2026 (ET)?$1.00Jan 29, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 20, 2026 (ET)?$1.00Jan 29, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 11, 2026 (ET)?$1.00Jan 29, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US next strike Iran on February 5, 2026 (ET)?$1.00Jan 29, 19:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $3.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 18, 11:29 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 25, 11:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".