Honest-Watchmaker
0xe6bbb0c20b8ef4aae16442d01c73b90c6a5ef5e1
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-117.19
Realised
$-23.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?
554 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.99
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3AM ET
221 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.56
- NO
Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 31?
198 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 8?
97 shares @ 14.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- NO
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?
91 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 25?
54 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-4.84
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
35 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-6.96
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
26 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-14.77
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$6.20Mar 15, 09:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$6.28Mar 15, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$7.72Mar 15, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$7.83Mar 15, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$20.48Mar 15, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$7.00Mar 15, 08:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$27.48Mar 15, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$9.39Mar 15, 08:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$9.49Mar 15, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$15.96Mar 15, 08:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$15.96Mar 15, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$11.41Mar 15, 08:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3AM ET$11.41Mar 15, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3AM ET$2.21Mar 15, 08:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3AM ET$2.21Mar 15, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3AM ET$5.62Mar 15, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3AM ET$7.00Mar 15, 07:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3AM ET$12.82Mar 15, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3AM ET$16.21Mar 15, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3AM ET$15.00Mar 15, 07:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $12.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 02:22 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 15, 09:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".