Sticky-Citizen
0xe6c848aa3f7878cac70499760f28ad26822801fd
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$107.54
Total PnL
$-216.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of July 13 2026?
94 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$94.09
$0.09
- NO
Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
14 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$13.45
$-0.05
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?
1250 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?
950 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on April 13?
928 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.78
- YES
Will MrBeast hit 118 billion views by March 31?
820 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.64
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 23?
794 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.59
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 5?
761 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-2.28
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 27-May 3?
751 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.70
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 13?
743 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.71
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of July 13 2026?$94.00Jul 17, 09:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in June?$94.09Jul 17, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in June?$94.00Jun 30, 09:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 30?$10.33Jun 30, 09:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$12.06Jun 30, 09:30 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$72.30Jun 30, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$72.08May 31, 10:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$72.10May 31, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$72.03May 30, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$12.05May 30, 11:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$83.91May 30, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$84.00May 30, 10:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$83.91May 30, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$84.00May 30, 10:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?$84.28May 30, 10:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?$84.05May 29, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 30?$10.30May 29, 08:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 28?$94.35May 29, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 28?$93.91May 28, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?$13.50May 28, 11:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $80.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 06:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 09:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.