0xe6d0df2be2ba1391a13094bf372678cfb99ad21e
0xe6d0df2be2ba1391a13094bf372678cfb99ad21e
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
191
Open notional
$1.28
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 191- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 20?
1 shares @ 0.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$1.28
$1.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 28?
4545 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-65.05
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 29?
384 shares @ 15.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-59.16
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 28?
357 shares @ 23.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-82.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 27?
276 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-24.84
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on May 28?
263 shares @ 29.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-77.73
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on May 28?
249 shares @ 20.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-50.14
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on May 29?
228 shares @ 22.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-51.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 76°F or higher on May 31?
226 shares @ 18.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-41.58
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on May 29?
196 shares @ 29.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-58.48
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 12?$39.60Jul 13, 00:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 11?$0.29Jul 12, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 12?$5.20Jul 12, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 12?$2.60Jul 12, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 12?$5.20Jul 12, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 12?$2.60Jul 12, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 12?$2.60Jul 12, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 12?$2.60Jul 12, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 12?$3.85Jul 12, 21:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on July 12?$19.80Jul 12, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on July 12?$10.40Jul 12, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 12?$2.75Jul 12, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 12?$3.58Jul 12, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 12?$5.40Jul 12, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 12?$4.32Jul 12, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 12?$2.70Jul 12, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 12?$5.40Jul 12, 01:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 11?$16.80Jul 11, 23:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 11?$2.01Jul 11, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 11?$3.15Jul 11, 14:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $6.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 16:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 00:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.