Early-Behalf
0xe6f27fef0b592388308089306407079501c30e9a
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$209.99
Total PnL
$-77.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?
130 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$130.00
$24.70
- YES
Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the France vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?
40 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$39.99
$19.20
- NO
Will the announcers say "Upset" during the France vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?
20 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.00
$10.20
- NO
Will the announcers say "Goal" 50+ times during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?
20 shares @ 23.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$20.00
$15.40
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?
200 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- TEAM WE
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverance
62 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-39.71
- YES
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-22?
50 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-20.50
- YES
Will FC Porto win on 2026-01-22?
40 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
- NO
Will there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?
40 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-7.60
- NO
Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the France vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?
40 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-17.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?$4.70Jul 3, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?$0.10Jul 2, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no next Home Secretary of the UK in 2026?$2.80Jul 2, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win on 2026-07-02?$105.30Jun 30, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the France vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?$0.00Jun 30, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the France vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?$1.10Jun 30, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the France vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?$0.53Jun 30, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the France vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?$16.35Jun 30, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Goal" 50+ times during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?$4.60Jun 30, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Goal" 50+ times during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?$15.16Jun 30, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Upset" during the France vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?$9.80Jun 30, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Upset" during the France vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?$9.60Jun 30, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Goal" 50+ times during the Mexico vs Ecuador FIFA World Cup Match?$0.04Jun 30, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the France vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?$0.63Jun 30, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the France vs Sweden FIFA World Cup Match?$20.16Jun 30, 12:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$11.49May 27, 04:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$6.85May 27, 04:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$11.75May 27, 03:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$1.96May 27, 03:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$10.00May 27, 03:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $26.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 16, 01:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 12:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.