Subdued-Tag
0xe6f3ebef9cf63d2040f070b7dd58ba83158fa6ce
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$295.55
Total PnL
$7.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
102 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$102.34
$2.34
- NO
Will Xi visit the US by December 31?
62 shares @ 97.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$61.73
$1.73
- NO
China x Taiwan military clash by December 31?
31 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$30.77
$0.77
- NO
Will the US Government sell Bitcoin by December 31?
27 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$27.00
$0.41
- NO
US forces in Yemen in 2025?
21 shares @ 95.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$20.99
$0.99
- YES
Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?
21 shares @ 96.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$20.66
$0.66
- NO
Maduro in U.S. custody by December 31?
10 shares @ 96.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$10.00
$0.36
- NO
China coup attempt in 2025?
6 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.07
$0.07
- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?
4 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.04
$0.04
- NO
U.S. forces in Gaza in 2025?
3 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$3.06
$0.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out in 2025?$20.00Dec 30, 13:29 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$19.19Dec 30, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro in U.S. custody by December 31?$4.79Dec 2, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US Government sell Bitcoin by December 31?$26.59Dec 2, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro in U.S. custody by December 31?$4.84Dec 2, 09:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. forces in Gaza in 2025?$3.00Dec 2, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$3.00Dec 2, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$19.00Nov 27, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina coup attempt in 2025?$6.00Nov 27, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin in 2025?$4.00Nov 20, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jia Yueting enter mainland China by December 31?$3.00Nov 20, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. acquire Canadian territory in 2025?$2.80Nov 16, 13:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,700 and $3,800 on November 11?$10.08Nov 16, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?$20.00Nov 11, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,700 and $3,800 on November 11?$10.00Nov 11, 13:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in 2025?$4.39Nov 10, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash by December 31?$30.00Nov 5, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces in Yemen in 2025?$20.00Nov 4, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi visit the US by December 31?$60.00Nov 4, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out in 2025?$80.00Nov 4, 14:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $17.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 2, 12:23 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 30, 13:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.