Vengeful-Rhubarb
0xe6f92bbee805df4e82620437c70177f654978356
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$37.03
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 15?
829 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
694 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-42.99
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?
647 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-26.32
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
479 shares @ 41.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 12PM ET
413 shares @ 47.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-196.72
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
348 shares @ 28.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - October 15, 9AM ET
294 shares @ 20.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-60.13
- UP
Solana Up or Down on October 15?
289 shares @ 17.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?
261 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.44
- YES
Will no one dissent October Fed decision?
250 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-22.54
Recent activity
- REDEEMUFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)$0.00Apr 12, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3.18Apr 10, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Apr 10, 22:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?$4.18Apr 9, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?$8.88Apr 9, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)$86.00Apr 9, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no one dissent October Fed decision?$22.54Oct 16, 23:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?$22.54Oct 16, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?$29.03Oct 16, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?$26.32Oct 16, 22:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 5PM ET$16.27Oct 16, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 5PM ET$310.39Oct 16, 21:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 5PM ET$320.44Oct 16, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 5PM ET$242.46Oct 16, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 5PM ET$26.56Oct 16, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4PM ET$103.65Oct 16, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4PM ET$147.21Oct 16, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$100.00Oct 16, 20:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$62.69Oct 16, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$100.00Oct 16, 20:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $81.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 15, 19:22 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 18:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.