Oily-Statement
0xe6fc9c48ffa2aafabdb47b1fbb346dea1f8238d5
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$-145.57
Win rate
24%
29 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
1005 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Real Madrid CF Femenino win on 2026-03-25?
268 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-31.62
- YES
Will Peru win on 2026-03-28?
196 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-15.57
- YES
Will Bangladesh win on 2026-03-26?
138 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-6.97
- YES
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-21?
131 shares @ 38.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-50.70
- YES
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?
130 shares @ 34.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-44.67
- YES
Will Girona FC win on 2026-03-21?
126 shares @ 25.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-32.42
- YES
Will Monaco advance to the round of 16?
125 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-8.74
- YES
Will Olympiacos advance to the round of 16?
116 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.82
- YES
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?
111 shares @ 72.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-81.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$1.05Jul 20, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$1.03Jul 20, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$1.06Jul 20, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$1.05Jul 20, 14:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$3.53Jul 20, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$1.06Jul 20, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$1.04Jul 20, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$1.03Jul 20, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$1.05Jul 20, 13:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$1.87Jul 20, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$1.04Jul 20, 13:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$1.87Jul 20, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$1.06Jul 20, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$1.04Jul 20, 13:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$1.33Jul 20, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$1.04Jul 20, 13:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$1.49Jul 20, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$1.05Jul 20, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$1.04Jul 20, 13:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$1.15Jul 20, 13:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
57/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
24% win rate over 29 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.
29 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 01:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 14:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 29 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.